Sales of diamond producers last year decreased by an average of 40% and there is no sign of any significant signals indicating the rapid recovery of this market. The raw material market is a sharp contrast: the total sales of DTC and ALROSA are approaching $ 900 million in January, and taking into account the supplies of other producers, the market will obviously take a billion-dollar line, which is quite comparable to the pre-crisis period.
Do the modest successes of jewelry retailers and the impressive achievements of rough diamond producers reflect a steady trend of restoring markets or are they just a respite before a new protracted peak? In our opinion, the dynamics of such indicator as the "savings rate in US households", which is a direct indicator of the population's readiness to increase consumption, can prompt the answer to this burning question. In the 70s - early 80s of the last century, the savings rate fluctuated around 10%, rising to 12-14% at the time of the well-known economic crises. But from the mid-80s, when the discount rate of the Fed began to decrease steadily and steadily, and the population's demand for goods and services to be spurred on by means of constantly cheaper loans, the saving rate began to decrease steadily.
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